2025 NASCAR at Austin odds, predictions, time: Model that nailed 19 winners releases COTA picks

The NASCAR Cup Series will head to Circuit of the Americas in Austin on Sunday for the 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. The first road race of the season will feature an 18-turn, 2.356-mile road course at COTA. The 2025 NASCAR at Austin race is scheduled for 95 laps and the green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET. William Byron is the defending champion of this race and the points-leader through two weeks. Accordingly, he’s +750 in the 2025 NASCAR at Austin odds.

However, Shane Van Gisbergen is the +450 favorite for NASCAR at COTA 2025, followed by Connor Zilisch, another road specialist, at +650 in the latest 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix odds. Before entering any 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Austin predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. In 2024, it nailed Kyle Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. 

It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 19 winners since 2021, including nine in 2023 and three in the first seven races last season. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix 2025 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Austin leaderboard.

Top 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix predictions

For the 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix, we can tell you the model is high on AJ Allmendinger, even though he’s a longshot at +1200 in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Austin odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 43-year-old has been in and out of NASCAR’s top circuit since 2006 and he’s known for his road-racing prowess.

Allmendinger is a three-time winner in the NASCAR Cup Series and all three of those victories came on road courses (Watkins Glen, Indianapolis GP and the Charlotte Road Course). The veteran finished sixth at Circuit of the Americas last season after starting back in 14th position and he was also fifth when the NASCAR Cup Series debuted in Austin back in 2021.

And a massive shocker: Connor Zilisch, one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2025 EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix starting lineup. The 18-year-old made his NASCAR Xfinity Series debut last July at Watkins Glen and scored a victory in his first start, then added a couple fourth-place finishes in Kansas and Phoenix while running a four-race schedule to end the year.

Now he’ll make his NASCAR Cup Series debut on a road track and oddsmakers are certainly buying into the hype, listing him as second favorite. However, Zilisch has finished 27th and 34th in two Xfinity starts to begin the 2025 season and the phenom will almost certainly have a target on his back this weekend with all the buzz he’s generating as a teenager. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.

How to make 2025 NASCAR at Circuit of the Americas picks

The model is also targeting two drivers with Austin NASCAR odds longer than 12-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.

So who wins NASCAR at Circuit of the Americas 2025, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Austin odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 19 winners, including Chase Elliott’s win at the 2025 Clash at Bowman Gray.

2025 NASCAR Austin odds, drivers, lineup

See the full NASCAR at COTA picks at SportsLine

Shane Van Gisbergen +450
Connor Zilisch +650
Tyler Reddick +750
William Byron +750
Christopher Bell +800
Chase Elliott +1000
Kyle Larson +1000
AJ Allmendinger +1200
Ross Chastain +1200
Ty Gibbs +1400
Alex Bowman +2000
Chris Buescher +2200
Chase Briscoe +2500
Michael McDowell +2800
Kyle Busch +3000
Austin Cindric +3000
Daniel Suarez +3300
Denny Hamlin +5000
Ryan Blaney +5000
Joey Logano +5000
Carson Hocevar +7500
Cole Custer +10000
Todd Gilliland +15000
Bubba Wallace +15000
Brad Keselowski +20000
Zane Smith +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +25000
Justin Haley +25000
Riley Herbst +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Noah Gragson +30000
Josh Berry +35000
Ryan Preece +35000
Austin Dillon +35000
Erik Jones +35000
Ty Dillon +50000
Cody Ware +50000