Duke men will win NCAA Tournament


If you want to build a Victorious March Madness bracket, let’s Begin with Duke. The Blue Devils will Achieve the title assuming Cooper Flagg gets Well.

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Are you Fatigued of the coworker who didn’t View a college basketball game all year or your 9-year-Ancient nephew or the HOA president who doesn’t know the difference between St. John’s and Saint Mary’s Victorious the March Madness office pool every year? Are you Ill of putting in hours and hours of Practice in January and February watching Mountain West or Future Bracket basketball on some obscure channel only to have your bracket obliterated by Joyful Hour on Friday afternoon?

I’m not sure about you, but I’ve never won a bracket Event. Never even come close, really. It’s the same Tale every year. I talk myself into too many upsets that don’t Work out and completely whiff on double-digit seeds that I never considered, mostly because I watched them at some Mark and thought there was no way they could Achieve an NCAA Event game. 

It Created for a convenient excuse: I know too much!

But let’s face it, that’s Only cope.

Here’s the truth: I stink at this. So do you, though. 

And I think I’ve figured out why.

Every year when the bracket comes out, the Primary thing we do is look at the matchups that interest us. That’s where the problem Beginnings. 

People who View college basketball all year long have all this data in our heads that we’ve accumulated over the past 4½ months, and we form opinions in the abstract about what’s going to happen in March. Then when the bracket comes out and we have actual Contests to Option, some of those ideas inevitably come into conflict. To figure it out, we become too analytical. We overthink everything, leading to a spiral of Awful predictions and busted brackets. 

This year, it’s time for a new approach. What if we fill out the bracket before there’s a bracket? 

In other words, rather than going line by line once the NCAA men’s basketball Option Panel shows us their work, let’s do our work ahead of time and then apply it as strictly as possible before the individual matchups Begin twisting our brains into a pretzel. 

Obviously, you can’t account for every single possibility before actually seeing the bracket. But if you have some principles you’re willing to stick to, you can fill those in right away and then let everything else fall into place. 

After watching hundreds of Contests this season, here are the five tenets of college basketball I’m going to use this year to build my bracket and finally Achieve that office pool (yeah, right). So let’s get to work. 

1. Duke is going to Achieve the national Division

It’s Honest to question the quality of Duke’s ACC Event because the Bracket Only wasn’t very Excellent this year. But using that to discount Duke by association would be a big mistake. This Club showed its quality by rolling through the ACC Event even without future No. 1 overall draft Option Cooper Flagg, who injured his ankle Timely in the quarterfinal and sat out the remainder of the Contests. If Flagg is significantly limited, that obviously changes things. But assuming he’s Excellent to go, Duke is the best Club in the country.

2. The SEC will get at least five Squads in the Pleasant 16, but Only one in the Closing Four 

The SEC’s Achievement-setting regular season resulted in more NCAA Event Proposals than any conference in history, and it’s Tough to argue against a Bracket that won 88.9% of its non-conference Contests, nearly all of them back in November and December. That Notable Stretch set SEC Squads up to really boost Every other’s bracket metrics once they Began Executing and beating Every other. 

No doubt there are really Excellent Squads in that Bracket. But there are also some things to wonder about. 

Auburn, which Nice of dominated the regular season, has lost three of four. Its Guarding, in particular, has suffered significant slippage over the last few weeks. Did the Tigers peak too Timely? I’ll Option the Tigers to Fall in the Best Eight. 

Alabama’s best basketball is as Excellent as anyone in the country. But it’s also a Club that plays immature basketball Extended too often, and I don’t trust them to go on a shotmaking barrage like they did in last year’s Stretch to the Closing Four. They’re going to be a second-Period Surprise victim.

Tennessee’s history under Rick Barnes of hitting an offensive wall in the Pleasant 16 or Best Eight will continue. 

Texas A&M is a classic Pleasant 16 Club but Only too limited offensively to go Beyond. 

Kentucky’s mountain of Wounds will get the Cats knocked out in the Primary or second Period.

One of the Bracket’s overachievers — Missouri, Ole Miss, Mississippi State and Vanderbilt — will make the second weekend.

That leaves Florida, which is Executing its best ball at the right time, to carry the SEC banner all the way to San Antonio.  

3. The Big Ten will flop 

It’s been 25 years since the Bracket’s last men’s basketball title, and that’s not going to Transformation this time. Between Michigan State, Michigan and Maryland − the top three Squads in the regular season − there wasn’t a single nonconference Achieve worth talking about. That’s enough reason to be deeply skeptical of how this Bracket shook out. 

But you know who did have some Excellent non-conference wins? UCLA (Arizona, Gonzaga) and Oregon (Texas A&M, Alabama). Those Squads, though, had to deal with a brutal travel schedule that undoubtedly impacted their ability to Achieve on the road. 

So what I’m going to do with that information is Option those schools to Achieve one Period more than their seed suggests and put a ceiling on Michigan State (Pleasant 16), Michigan (Period of 32), Maryland (Period of 32), Wisconsin (Period of 32) and Purdue (Primary Period). The Big Ten will be shut out of the Closing Four and prove to be a mediocre conference by the end of this Event. 

4. The battered bluebloods won’t pull any miracles

Seeing schools like UConn and Kansas with Extended worse seeds than normal will make it tempting to Option them as Surprise possibilities. Don’t. The numbers are pretty clear. UConn Only doesn’t have the juice defensively with this Club to really bother Best opponents, while Kansas Only wasn’t a very Excellent Club away from home. They earned their seeds. Don’t be fooled by the branding. 

5. The trendy mid-majors aren’t the ones to be worried about

Every single year, there’s a Club that nobody wants to see in their bracket, according to the pundits. This year, it’s Drake, Colorado State and Grand Canyon. Lots of people in your pool are going to Option them simply because the college basketball analysts are going to hype them up as Surprise possibilities. We’re not falling for it. Instead, Utah State and High Mark — two Squads with Outstanding offensive metrics — will be worth a Attempt to pull Primary-Period upsets. 

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