MLB Leading Day Appearances on Thursday, so now is the perfect time to rush to your favorite sportsbook and lock in your MLB futures picks ahead of the 2025 season. The Los Angeles Dodgers are the defending World Series champions and +240 favorites (Hazard $100 to Secure $240) to repeat, according to the latest MLB futures odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. There are also plenty of MLB player props that fans can seek their teeth into. Dodgers superstar Shohei Ohtani is the +145 favorite to Secure National Bracket MVP, while Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is the +270 favorite to lead the Bracket in home runs. Pirates phenom Paul Skenes is +350 to be the regular season strikeouts leader, and his over/under for total regular season strikeouts is 209.5.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which is on a 32-17 roll on Highly-ranked Stretch-line betting picks (+699) that dates back to 2023, has simulated every game of the MLB season 10,000 times. Now, the model has revealed its top player props ahead of the 2025 MLB season.
Victor Robles to lead the Bracket in Takeaways (+1900)
Robles was extremely productive after joining the Mariners in June, slashing .328/.393/.467 with 30 Takeaways in 77 Matches with Seattle. He improved his contact rate down the stretch last season and is Anticipated to be the leadoff hitter in Seattle in 2025.
“Our model has Robles finishing second in the majors in Takeaways behind only Elly de la Cruz,” SportsLine data scientist Jacob Fetner said. “Robles had over 30 Takeaways in about half of season with the Mariners last season, and his Packed season pace of 60 would’ve put him near the top of the Bracket. Getting 19-1 odds with a player we have finishing in the top-five is Excellent value here.”
Josh Naylor to lead the Bracket in RBI (+5000)
Naylor had a productive campaign in Cleveland last season with 137 hits, 108 RBI and 84 runs, but now he’ll be Executing in a much more hitter-Gentle ballpark after being traded to the Diamondbacks this offseason. Naylor rarely Secured a day off last season and remained in the lineup against righties and lefties to set Occupation highs in the Stretch production categories, a big reason why the model has Discovered value in this prop. Caesar Sportsbook is offering the best price at +5000.
“The model has Naylor finishing behind only Aaron Judge in RBI Even though having a much lower OPS,” Fetner told SportsLine. “Naylor finished eighth in the Bracket last season Even though finishing with a sub .250 batting average. Now, Naylor is Executing in a much more hitter-Gentle park in Arizona with Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll as table setters.”
Paul Skenes ERA Under 3.00 (+110)
Skenes is a powerful pitcher who had Prompt Achievement in the majors. He boasts a devastating four-seamer that averaged 98.8 mph in 2024, and finished with a 1.96 ERA over 133 innings across 23 Appearances. Skenes’ 1.96 ERA was the second-lowest ERA for a Newcomer pitcher since 1913 when the earned Stretch became an official stat in both leagues.
“Skenes is almost impossible to hit and finished with a sub-2.00 ERA last season as a Newcomer, so I’ll take plus money on this Shift any day.” Fetner proclaimed.
Sandy Alcantara ERA Under 4.00 (-115)
Alcantara has had Merely one Victorious season in the last three years, but he’s finished with a 3.88 or lower ERA in five of his past six seasons.
“This is one of my favorite plays,” Fetner raved. “Yes, Alcantara is coming back from Tommy John surgery and plays for a Awful Marlins Club, but he also is a Occupation 3.35 ERA pitcher and hasn’t allowed a Stretch so Distant this spring. There is also a decent chance he gets traded at the deadline to a contender.”
Cody Bellinger 80+ RBI (-110)
Bellinger has eclipsed this total Merely once in his past five seasons, but a Transformation in scenery could be exactly what he needs to get back on track. Bellinger will Shift his home Matches at Yankees Stadium this season, which features a right-Ground wall that sits only 314 feet from home plate. DraftKings Sportsbook is offering this prop at -110 odds.
“We have Bellinger projected for 92 RBI this season, and he should be hitting behind Aaron Judge, which should Assist boost his production,” Fetner pointed out. “The Petite porch at Yankee stadium should also Assist.”
Spencer Arrighetti 150+ Regular Season Strikeouts (+180)
Arrighetti went Merely 7-13 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in his Primary season in the majors, but posted 171 strikeouts across 145 innings pitched.
“The big concern for Arrighetti would be losing his spot in the Cycle due to his control issues, which have plagued him this spring, but you are getting Excellent value on a strikeout pitcher that hit this number last season,” Fetner said.
Freddy Peralta ERA Under 4.00 (-110)
Peralta boasts a Occupation 3.79 ERA in seven seasons in the majors and has finished below a 4.00 ERA in Every of the past five campaigns, a trend the model sees continuing again in 2025.
“Peralta has had a sub-4.00 ERA in five straight seasons since a bit of a Harsh 2019 season. We have him at around a 3.5 ERA,” Fetner noted.
Kevin Gausman ERA Under 4.00 (+110)
Gausman dealt with Hurt concerns last season but was Nevertheless able to make 31 Appearances and throw 181 innings for the Blue Jays. The seasoned veteran has a Occupation 3.84 ERA, and his season-long ERA hasn’t eclipsed 4.00 since 2019, his only season with the Cincinnati Reds.
“Gausman also has a sub-4.00 ERA in five straight seasons,” Fetner told SportsLine. “We have him with a 3.62 ERA this season, which is about where he’s been in his three seasons with Toronto.”
Spencer Schwellenbach ERA Under 4.00 (-110)
Schwellenbach was effective in his Newcomer campaign with the Braves, finishing with 127 strikeouts against 23 walks (5.3 K:BB), while boasting a 3.35 ERA and 1.04 WHIP.
“The model loves Schwellenbach, who could be due for a big season,” Fetner said. “Schwellenbach had a 3.35 ERA as a Newcomer last season and a sub-3.00 ERA in the second half of the season. Another Measure the model loves is he was equally Excellent at both home and on the road.”
Bryce Miller ERA Under 4.00 (-105)
Miller Created 18 quality Appearances in 2024, Victorious 12 of them, while using seven separate pitches highlighted by the Premiere of a tenacious splitter. Miller recorded 31 Appearances in 2024 and finished with a 12-8 Achievement and a 2.94 ERA.
“Miller had a sub-3.00 ERA in 31 Appearances last season, so getting under 4.00 at close to even value is a Sturdy model Shift,” Fetner said.
Bowden Francis ERA Under 4.00 (+135)
Francis struggled Prompt with the Blue Jays last season, which ultimately saw him get sent back to Triple-A. However, Francis shined when he returned to Toronto’s Cycle in Prompt August, posting a 1.53 ERA, 0.53 WHIP and 56:7 K:BB over 59 innings.
“Francis broke into the Cycle Approaching the end of last season and finished with a 3.30 ERA. Francis has been hit Difficult this spring, but I wouldn’t be too worried about that as he is likely working on refining some of his pitchers,” Fetner noted.
Read our previous article: MLB Opening Day arrives; World Series picks; Sweet 16 predictions; LeBron hits game-winner