Golf model reveals top three longshot picks to back at the 2025 Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches

With no overwhelming favorite in the 2025 Cognizant Classic field, this event could produce a longshot victor which would mean a huge payday for golf bettors. Playing longshots can be fun, but they sometimes seem like an unrealistic outcome when competing against the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele. But none of those will be in action when the 2025 Cognizant Classic tees off from The Champion Course at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, on Thursday, Feb. 27. 

Austin Eckroat won last year’s Cognizant Classic as a 100-1 longshot and he’s going off as a 50-1 longshot to repeat, according to the latest 2025 Cognizant Classic odds. Jordan Spieth, a three-time major champion, is priced at 40-1, but should he be considered for your 2025 Cognizant Classic bets? Shane Lowry, a three-time PGA Tour winner, is the 20-1 favorite. Before locking in your 2025 Cognizant Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and last year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting apps like FanDuel, DraftKings and Fanatics. 

Now that the 2025 Cognizant Classic field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard. Here are three Cognizant Classic sleepers to target:

Denny McCarthy (40-1)

McCarthy is coming off a strong showing at The Genesis Invitational, finishing T-5 with a score of 8-under par. It was his best finish of the year and his third finish of 16th or better over his first five tournaments on the PGA Tour. McCarthy shot steady golf all weekend, going under par in all four rounds. It was his third straight weekend of zero rounds over par and he’s made the cut in all five events this year. McCarthy is still seeking his first PGA Tour victory, but given the field and his recent consistency, the model shows value in McCarthy this weekend. Now, see the entire projected 2025 Cognizant Classic leaderboard from the model that’s nailed 13 majors.

Max Greyserman (50-1)

The 29-year-old is also seeking his first PGA Tour victory and has been playing steady golf since the end of last year’s PGA Tour season. Greyserman finished T-2 at the Zozo Championship in Japan in October before finishing fourth at the World Wide Technology Championship and T-7 at the Grant Thornton Invitational. He opened the 2025 PGA Tour season with back-to-back top-25 finishes, including T-7 at The American Express. Greyserman was 20th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained last year, highlighted by second in strokes gained: putting. He was seventh in birdie average and ranked 17th in driving distance, so Greyserman has tournament-winning attributes. Get Cognizant Classic best bets for a $1 million parlay from expert Eric Cohen, who correctly predicted the pre-tournament outright winner in seven events over the last two seasons, right here.

Luke Clanton (50-1)

The Florida State junior is the No. 1 ranked amateur in the world as he proved his ability to compete with the professionals when given the opportunity last year. The 21-year-old became the first amateur golfer since 1958 to have back-to-back PGA Tour top-10 outcomes when he finished T-10 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before placing T-2 the following week in the John Deere Classic. The amateur has come closer to a pro victory than many of the professionals in the 2025 Cognizant Classic field and he has four top-10 finishes in 11 career PGA Tour events. Clanton is a preseason All-American and coming off the lowest single-season scoring average in Florida State history. He’ll be a name to watch for years on the PGA Tour, including this weekend. Now, see the entire projected 2025 Cognizant Classic leaderboard from the model that’s nailed 13 majors.

Full Cognizant Classic 2025 picks

You’ve seen the latest longshots from the model. Now, see the Cognizant Classic leaderboard, including forecasted finishes for Shane Lowry, Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, and more. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and three majors in 2024.

You can also view expert advice before locking in your PGA Tour picks: Visit SportsLine now to see golf insider Patrick McDonald’s best bets for the 2025 Cognizant Classic, all from the expert who gave out Straka as a 66-1 longshot at the 2025 American Express.

2025 Cognizant Classic odds, field, golfers

Get full 2025 Cognizant Classic picks, best bets and predictions here. 

Shane Lowry +2000
Russell Henley +2200
Sungjae Im +2200
Sepp Straka +2200
Daniel Berger +2800
Taylor Pendrith +3000
Min Woo Lee +3300
Byeong Hun An +3500
Keith Mitchell +3500
Denny Mccarthy +4000
Cameron Young +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Davis Thompson +4000
Michael Kim +4500
Ben Griffin +4500
Patrick Rodgers +5000
Billy Horschel +5000
Kurt Kitayama +5000
J.J. Spaun +5000
Max Greyserman +5000
Luke Clanton +5000
Andrew Novak +5000
Austin Eckroat +5000
Alex Smalley +5500
Rickie Fowler +5500
Lucas Glover +5500
Gary Woodland +5500
Jhonattan Vegas +5500
Nicolai Hojgaard +6000
Brian Harman +6000
Harry Hall +6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6000
Taylor Moore +6000
Chris Kirk +7000
Beau Hossler +7000
Seamus Power +7000
Niklas Norgaard +7500
Bud Cauley +7500
Jake Knapp +8000
Lee Hodges +8000
Eric Cole +8000
Kevin Roy +9000
Ryan Gerard +9000
Doug Ghim +9000
Mackenzie Hughes +9000
Pierceson Coody +9000
C.T. Pan +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
Brian Campbell +9000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
Isaiah Salinda +11000
Ryan Fox +11000
Adam Schenk +11000
Nicolas Echavarria +11000
Erik Van Rooyen +11000
Sam Ryder +11000
Jesper Svensson +12000
Chan Kim +12000
Jacob Bridgeman +12000
Mac Meissner +12000
Joe Highsmith +12000
Greyson Sigg +12000
Justin Lower +12000
Adam Svensson +12000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12000
Matt Wallace +12000
Mark Hubbard +12000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Victor Perez +12000
Tom Hoge +12000
Quade Cummins +15000
Patrick Fishburn +15000
Antoine Rozner +15000
Kristoffer Ventura +15000
Jackson Suber +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000