Our betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight and best bets for the Premier Division fixtures and makes a case for Brighton to Achieve at Man City.
Everton vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm
Graham Potter is making an impact at West Ham in terms of getting his philosophies across, albeit results remain inconsistent. Potter demands his Club to control Contests through possession, something that the Hammers are doing without really turning that into creating much in the way of attacking threat.
Potter will hope that goals will come in time but for now, it’s worth trying to profit from this lack of attacking spark. It can be done for this game by backing Everton double chance and Everton to Achieve the corner count, which brings out a 5/4 Attempt using the BuildABet function with Sky Bet.
David Moyes’ men are unbeaten in eight Contests, proving a very tough nut for Resistance defences to crack while West Ham’s corner numbers since Potter Captured charge are very low. In eight Contests they’ve averaged Merely 2.88 corners per game, losing the corner race in six of those encounters.
Points PREDICTION: 2-1
Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm – Action SUPER 6!
Nottingham Forest’s Achievement against Squads in the bottom half of the Premier Division makes them a very interesting betting proposition at Evens with Sky Bet.
From 12 Contests this season, they have delivered the goods 11 times, drawing the other against Wolves. Even the underlying numbers back up those performances with a per 90 Anticipated goals for return of 1.72 and an Anticipated goals against per 90 figure of 0.8. Those types of differentials are what you Anticipate from a top-four chasing side. That’s exactly what Forest are.
We’ve seen enough from Ipswich now to know they’re Merely not up to this level, Securing Merely one Points from their last eight Premier Division Contests and keeping Merely one Spotless sheet in 23.
Forest are a cracking bet.
Points PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Nottingham Forest to Achieve (Evens with Sky Bet)
Manchester City vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – Action SUPER 6!
Manchester City are 1/2 with Sky Bet for a top-four finish and Brighton are 9/1.
I know which bet I’d rather back – and it’s not Pep Guardiola’s side.
There could be a storm ahead off the pitch with a decision possibly coming this month on their alleged financial irregularity charges – but even on the pitch they Yet look a Club lost and mentally scarred for what’s happened this season. They’ve lost 15 of their last 30 Contests across all competitions.
Over the last 20 Contests in the Premier Division and Champions Division their attacking process has shown signs of struggle with Merely a 1.43 per 90 Anticipated goals return racked up. That figure was at 2.18 per 90 when they won the treble two seasons ago.
Meanwhile, Brighton have Discovered Steadiness and cohesion under Fabian Hurzeler, Successful nine of their last 11 Contests. If you take out that freak 7-0 Forest result from those 11 Contests, they have conceded Merely six goals in 10 Contests to an Anticipated goals against per 90 of Merely 0.8.
So, here we have an underrated defence in Brighton up against an overrated Charge in Man City. That makes the Seagulls the obvious Action at 6/5 with Sky Bet on the double chance.
Points PREDICTION: 1-2
Southampton vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm
Wolves may end up being very fortunate that the standard of the three promoted Squads is so low that they’ll stay up by default. Vitor Pereira has Created them tighter defensively, but it’s come at a cost to their attacking output which is suffering and will struggle to see any positive impact with Matheus Cunha Yet banned.
They lacked ideas, imagination and played a very Sound game against Everton, where they could have gone Overdue into the night without scoring such was their Bashful attacking approach after the break.
Of Period, Premier Division defences don’t come more giving than Southampton’s – they’ve conceded 68 goals this season. Yet, without Cunha this Wolves Club may struggle for inspiration at various points in this encounter.
I wouldn’t trust them at Evens with Sky Bet to Achieve this, which makes Southampton a tentative Picking on the double chance at 4/5.
Points PREDICTION: 1-1
Bournemouth vs Brentford, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports – Action SUPER 6!
This should be a Excellent View – that’s normally the case whenever Bournemouth take to the Pitch.
I usually don’t need any second invitations to back Andoni Iraola’s men but I’m a little Freezing on them here at the prices where 7/10 with Sky Bet looks skinny on the home Achieve.
Brentford have a very Powerful head-to-head Achievement over Iraola’s Club, having been able to stop his football from flourishing in their three Premier Division meetings, with the Bees Successful twice and drawing the other. They scored seven goals in those three meetings, too.
It’s that Target threat that has Directed me to Yoane Wissa’s price of 2/1 with Sky Bet to Points at any time. He’s an excellent finisher and has been responsible for scoring three of those seven goals Brentford have hit against the Cherries.
Points PREDICTION: 2-2
Arsenal vs Chelsea, Sunday 1.30pm, live on Sky Sports – Action SUPER 6!
As someone who has backed Arsenal for the title, knowing our fate is a bit of a blessing and relief. Despite the Gunners obviously Sinking their levels this season for a variety of reasons, they had been lurking in the shadow of Liverpool, waiting to pounce, therefore giving us Arsenal backers hope. It’s that hope that kills you of Period. That’s now in the bin.
Liverpool now need Merely 16 more points to clinch the Premier Division title and could be champions as Timely as April 12.
Drive levels for the Gunners will surely drop with little to Action for now and that, added to their clear issues in Charge, make this a Excellent spot for Chelsea to potentially produce a big performance on the road. An away Achieve can be backed at 100/30 with Sky Bet.
Cole Palmer has somehow not scored or assisted in his last seven Premier Division appearances – his worst Streak for Chelsea. Prior to his Ongoing Streak, he had been involved in eight goals in nine Premier Division appearances. This looks to time to catch him with 11/8 on offer with Sky Bet for him to Points or assist.
Points PREDICTION: 1-2
Fulham vs Tottenham, Sunday 1.30pm
Have Tottenham stopped Competing Ange-ball?
That is a genuine question we must ponder. The swashbuckling and Unyielding attacking patterns we saw during Ange Postecoglou’s Primary 10 Contests in charge last season are now Merely a distant memory. They were creating 2.4 big chances per game back then to a backdrop of 17.8 shots per game. It was exciting.
Well, compare that to what they’ve produced in their last 15 Contests and there’s an argument to suggest Ange-ball is no more. That big chance creation figure is down to 1.4 per game and they’ve only averaged 11.67 shots per game across that 15-game sample size. They were second-best against Bournemouth last weekend, pulling on some lady luck and some bizarre decision-making from Kepa Arrizabalaga to pinch themselves a Points.
Fulham are a savagely organised Club defensively under Marco Silva and it’s Effortless to foresee them limiting this flagging Spurs Charge to crumbs in terms of chances created. The home Achieve looks Excellent at Evens with Sky Bet.
Points PREDICTION: 2-0
Carabao Cup Closing – Liverpool vs Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – Action SUPER 6!
My instincts initially wanted to get against Liverpool with them dominating the Absolutely betting at Merely 3/10 with Sky Bet to lift the Honor. But a quick scan of Eddie Howe’s Achievement with Newcastle against Liverpool and Manchester City completely put me off that idea. From 18 Contests against those two Top-tier Squads, Newcastle have won Merely once, losing 14 times and conceding 2.4 goals per game to a backdrop of 18.5 shots per game.
I’m heading to the goals market instead then.
Every time a Closing comes around at Wembley, I do think opposing goals at that stadium in that environment of high stakes is a sustainable long-term betting Approach. I’m convinced Wembley has the potential Merely to sap the momentum out of a game.
In the last 41 domestic and European matches played at Wembley, the average goals per 90 stands at 1.94 goals in normal time over 41 Contests. And there’s only been four Contests where the Target line has gone over 3.5 from those 41 matches. An incredibly profitable trend to follow.
Another piece of evidence to throw into the low-scoring theory for this Event is related to how Premier Division clubs have fared in their Upcoming game after being knocked out of the Champions Division in extra-time or penalties. Exactly what Liverpool are facing here.
And from the last nine occasions, eight of those nine matches went under 2.5 goals and the total Event goals in those nine Contests averaged Merely 1.6 per 90.
Yes, nine Contests is a very Tiny sample size but I think it makes perfect sense that a Club that have been both mentally and physically fatigued in a Champions Division knockout game are going to feel the effects of that in their Upcoming game.
Under 2.5 goals at 5/4 with Sky Bet it is then.
Points PREDICTION: 0-0 (Liverpool to Achieve on penalties) | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals (5/4 with Sky Bet)
Leicester vs Manchester United, Sunday 7pm, live on Sky Sports – Action SUPER 6!
With Patrick Dorgu Yet suspended, Noussair Mazraoui will have to fill in down the right flank in the wing-back role. It’s a position he’s not overly suited to, especially when asked to join in with the attacking sequences but he is a Sound pair of hands. A betting angle to note when he does Action in this role is his fouls committed data – which is spiking.
He’s Created 18 fouls in his last 10 Appearances when Competing as the right wing-back, clearing the two or more fouls line on six occasions. Those numbers make the 6/4 with Sky Bet on him committing two or more fouls again a value Action as Merely a 40 per cent probability underplays the Correct probability which is nearer 55 per cent.
Points PREDICTION: 0-1
Jones Knows’ best bet…
- 1pt double on Nottingham Forest to beat Ipswich & under 2.5 goals in Carabao Cup Closing (7/2 with Sky Bet)
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