Super Bowl Props that Pop – Bets for Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl

The Super Bowl isn’t just the most-viewed sporting spectacle, it’s also the most bet-on event in America. Nearly 68 million adults placed wagers on the big game last year. Given this year’s rematch is rife with narratives that highlight pop icons and rushing royalty, the fervor is fantastically frenzied. Whether you identify as a red-coater, look good in midnight green or just hate Drake, Sunday’s Chiefs-Eagles game will be one to watch. And there’s no better way to enhance the fervor than to get in on the action.

Daniel Dopp and I are here to sift through the betting offerings and help you fatten your wallet. This is week No. 22 (she typed without irony) of Props that Pop. Thanks for sticking with us. We’ve won more than we’ve lost, and hope, regardless of your record, that you’ve had fun along the way.

Now, for the final time of the 2024-25 NFL season… let’s get to it! — Liz Loza

All odds as of publication time. For the latest odds, visit ESPN BET.

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Quarterback props

Jalen Hurts anytime TD (-120), Eagles to win (Even)

Loza: Hurts led the position in rushing scores of one or fewer yards, registering 13 such TDs in 2024. For context, 12 of those 13 scores were via the famed “Tush Push.” No other player, regardless of position, managed more than seven (Josh Allen and Josh Jacobs). Having found the end zone four times over his last two efforts, Hurts figures to hit paydirt again on Sunday.

Also working in the Eagles’ favor is their defense. Philly is the 13th team (and the first since the 2015 Broncos) to reach the Super Bowl after having the No. 1 defense during the regular season in terms of yards allowed. The previous 12 teams to reach the Super Bowl with the league’s No. 1 defense in YPG have gone 10-2 in the big game. Defense wins championships… even as underdogs (+1.5). Fun fact: The Eagles are 3-0 outright as underdogs this season.

Hurts OVER 34.5 rushing yards (-135)

Loza: While the Chiefs defense has been stout against opposing running backs, they have struggled to slow mobile QBs, allowing the sixth-most rushing yards (434) to the position.

That sets up nicely for Hurts, who averaged 42 rushing yards per game (QB3) over the course of 2024 (including the playoffs). Moreover, the 26-year-old has cleared the above line in two of three postseason efforts. Given that Hurts posted 70 rushing yards on 15 attempts when he faced KC two years ago, he’s likely to cruise his way to the over on the above wager.

Patrick Mahomes OVER 5.5 rush attempts (-120)

Dopp: Mahomes just knows how to get the job done. There’s not a lot of betting advice in that statement, it’s just true. One of the ways that Mahomes gets it done is with his legs. He’s not known as one of the big time rushing QBs, finishing 9th amongst QBs in rush attempts, but over the last two playoff games he has 18 carries! I like this bet because I believe that the Chiefs will win this game. Not only do I think they’ll win, but I believe Mahomes will find enough scramble opportunities to hit this line. When it comes to playoff ball, Mahomes isn’t allergic to using his legs to keep drives alive. I wish this line was at 4.5, so if it drops, make sure to jump on it, but I’m still comfortable at 5.5

One last thing. Part of my thought process here is that with a Chiefs win, there’s a chance Mahomes will get the ball to end the game, and kneel downs count as rushing attempts. I’m not expecting another 11 carry game like he had against the Bills, but somewhere in the 7-8 range would make seem quite reasonable to me. That’s why I’m taking the OVER on 5.5 rush attempts.

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Wide receiver props

Xavier Worthy longest reception OVER 19.5 yards (-115)

Worthy has grown into a trusted part of this Chiefs offense over the second half of the season. Since Week 13 (including the playoffs) Worthy has seven straight games with at least five receptions. He’s simply been more involved as of late, and with more opportunities come more chances for him to hit a big play. Worthy has at least one reception of 20-plus yards in three straight games (Week 18 excluded since the starters didn’t really play) and four of his past five.

The Eagles, meanwhile, have allowed 33 different receivers to have a 20-yard reception this season, including six times over the past three playoff games and at least once in 10 straight outings. If there’s one Chief that always has the ability to pop a big one, it’s gonna be Worthy. That’s why I’m taking him to hit a reception OVER 19.5 receiving yards.

Worthy OVER 62.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)

Dopp: Let’s stick with Worthy for our second prop, but I like the correlation of a big catch and him hitting the over on his total yards. For this one, we’re looking for 62.5 yards from scrimmage, something that he’s done in four of his past five games. Actually, he’s topped 75 yards in four of his past five games, if that makes you feel any better. I know the Eagles have been quite good against the WR position this season, but they’ve recently allowed Malik Nabers, DeMarcus Robinson and Puka Nacua to hit at least 64 yards from scrimmage since Week 18.

Also, I’m specifically targeting his rushing + receiving line given his role in the rushing game. He’s had at least one carry in 14 of his 19 games this season and he’s hit at least 10 rushing yards in four of the past five. Just to give myself a little extra cushion, I liked taking the rushing and receiving line here.

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Tight end props

Travis Kelce OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-125)

Loza: I might be this team’s resident Swiftie, but that has no sway over my selecting this particular prop. Instead, it’s the absence of LB Nakobe Dean that has me anticipating a solid effort from Kelce. The Eagles were stingy over the middle during the regular season, allowing the fewest receiving yards to the position from Weeks 1 through 18 (591). Since Dean injured his left knee in the wild-card round, however, the Eagles have allowed a total of 28 receptions and 227 receiving yards to opposing tight ends throughout the playoffs.