talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets on Tuesday’s card at Cheltenham Festival.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Tuesday racing tips
- CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL
1.20: Kopek Des Bordes* 10/11 (1pt)
2.00: Majborough* 8/13
2.40: King Turgeon 18/1 & Victtorino 20/1 each-way (1pt each)
3.20: Lossiemouth* 4/6
4.00: Constitution Hill* 4/6 & Golden Ace 9/1 EW – Betting without the favourite market (1pt)
4.40: Teriferma 22/1 & Solar Drive 33/1 E/W (0.5pt each)
5.20: Gericault Roque 9/1 E/W (1pt) - *Accumulator: Kopek Des Bordes, Majborough, Lossiemouth, Constitution Hill 7/1 (1pt)
Kopek Des Bordes
This five-year-old out of Willie Mullins yard is one of a few to really stand out this season as a potential future star and it’s no surprise he’s from the Irish trainer’s management.
The gelding is unbeaten in all three starts under rules including two hurdle starts which started on December 26th and then justified that potential with a significant victory at Leopardstown in the Grade 1 Ireland Novice Hurdle on February 4th.
It’s rare for a horse to go as short as this so early on for the Supreme as it’s a novices’ race there’s so many factors still to consider.
Well he’s much shorter than when Constitution Hill won the Supreme by a comfortable margin back in 2022 and that should paint some kind of a picture of how impressive a win it was last time.
He beat Karniquet by 13 lengths going on comfortably to win and that’s despite a few quirks while running, including being hampered ever so slightly by a loose horse so sets the standard here.
Majborough
Tuesday could be the day for favourites with Majborough another odds-on favourite, the second in as many races with more to come later on too.
This horse was 4/1 when Sir Gino was still in contention, but the Nicky Henderson-trained frontrunner for the Arkle has long been ruled out of the season.
As a result, the Willie Mullins-trained chaser has been hammered in to become the odds-on favourite himself.
Past Arkle winners show how important this race is and how the best of the best win it despite it being the novice chase, really one for the future with past winners including Shishkin, Edwardstone, Altior, Douvan and Un De Sceaux.
The majority of winners have gone into this race, unbeaten and eight of those were the favourites in the last ten renewals – one for the punters.
King Turgeon & Victtorino
The Ultima Handicap Chase is a quality premier handicap over 3m that sees the runners take on 20 fences.
It’s a contest that’s only been won twice by favourites in the last ten renewals.
Corach Rambler won the Ultima twice in a row to claim the 2022 and 2023 editions but further shows that staying power is the key here.
And previous winners of this race show you don’t need tip-top form coming into the race to go on and win. You probably just need the right conditions and a solid run on the day to win.
The Ultima is also one for the Brits as there hasn’t been an Irish-trained winner since 2006.
This may not have been won by many favourites but it’s not necessarily a race that sees winners in the double digit odds.
King Turgeon, provided he’s not still feeling the affects of a tough race at Musselburgh, could be one for the each-way play as he was a short head behind Katate Dori in January.
He now only gives away 2lb to the promising gelding so appeals plenty with the weights in his favour.
You can also make a great case for the Venetia Williams-trained Victtorino.
While the trainer isn’t in great form recently, this horse certainly is.
He’s won two in a row over 3m at Ascot and gets the right conditions to face the Ultima this time having been pulled up in this race last year on heavy ground.
Lossiemouth
Brighterdaysahead had been odds-on for a while for the Mares’ Hurdle but it was confirmed on March 3rd the horse would in fact be heading for the Champion Hurdle, the feature race of the day 40 minutes later instead.
Constitution Hill is a sure winner for the big feature race of the day but they have to take their chance as there’s strong confidence from many that the mare has what it takes.
A similar dilemma for punters was whether Lossiemouth would also stick to the mares’ hurdle or would she also have another chance to face Constitution Hill.
Well it was finally confirmed that Lossiemouth would head for the mares hurdle, which despite the complaints from many seems the right option given her path to Cheltenham wasn’t exactly ideal.
However, Lossiemouth did put in a good effort behind Constitution Hill two starts ago and had she been more willing at the start of the race to keep with the pace, it could have been a bigger battle, which makes her a clear favourite to win this.
Constitution Hill
The Champion Hurdle has been at the forefront of Cheltenham Festival talk for quite some time now.
Ever since the odds-on favourite Constitution Hill was a non-runner for the Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle in November.
But he bounced back after a year off to win back to back Christmas Hurdles at Kempton – despite all his troubles that kept him off the track, to beat Lossiemouth comfortably.
He was a 1/12 favourite at Cheltenham in January in the International Hurdle to win soundly ahead of Brentford Hope.
Those two wins and while continuing to work well with no setbacks he’s set to be in prime condition to be back at Cheltenham Festival where he belongs.
I can certainly see the appeal of Brighterdaysahead, to finally put an end to the super star hurdler’s unbeaten run, coming over from Ireland at a much bigger price than say 1/2.
But the mare is young and despite being so impressive, she would need to be much further along in her progression to beat Constitution Hill.
If you are looking to bet without the favourite or go for an outsider, the one to go for might be Golden Ace, who surprisingly sidestepped the mares to go for the Champion Hurdle.
She’s an incredibly impressive mare, who’s beaten Brighterdaysahead before and could be a gigantic price to surprise a few in second or third.
Teriferma & Solar Drive
The Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle is a bit unpredictable. The last ten renewals show that with odds of 80/1, 33/1 and 25/1 among some of the prices.
Just one favourite has been seen in the last ten, when Band Of Outlaws won in 2019 at 7/2.
The Fred Winter is dominated by those coming over from Ireland who’ve picked up seven winners in the last seven renewals.
The ground could also be crucial here as four-year-olds will already have a preference to the going and conditions.
Total Look is just 7/1 for this yet placed a neck behind Teriferma and Quantock Hills in the Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle here in December.
That gives both of their 20/1+ odds huge value considering they’re now carrying 6lb less rather than 3lb more than the Gavin Cromwell-trained horse.
If it’s a pick between both of those I’d opt for Teriferma at around 22/1 with Sean Bowen up and trained by Jack Jones, who could get a surprise winner, in which his outside priced runners have recently performed very well.
Solar Drive has some modest form but his placings recently including in listed company at Musselburgh last time out after 109 days off, suggests he’s well-weighted to make the most and acts on this kind of ground.
Gericault Roque
And onto the lucky last, the Princess Royal Challenge Cup which is a novices’ handicap chase over a huge 3m6f.
This is a race that has seen some of the best stayers in all of jumps racing.
With the likes of Tiger Roll winning in 2017 and Galvin in 2021.
It’s also been dominated by the Irish contingent with Willie Mullins picking up three of the last ten the same as Gordon Elliott.
Cheltenham Festival experience also seems to be vital in this race with nine of the last ten runners holding that form.
Gericault Roque however, from David Pipe’s yard really stands out for a few reasons.
One of the main ones being he’s gone right down in the weights which means he could have that play right to his advantage over this distance.
He was rated 7lb higher when 2nd here in the 2022 Ultima, before having two long stints away from the track.
That leads me to the next positive of running very respectably last time out at Windsor in January after a staggering 783 days away from racing.
Yet he still placed third behind Herakles Westwood and will surely be much better now he’s brushed those cobwebs off, so to speak.
Tom Lunn’s Horse Racing P/L
- From November ’24: +41.93pts
- From May ’24: +195.88pts
- From July ’23: +335.35pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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